IN THIS LESSON
Strike Price Selection
Chapter 2 of Theta Bridge Academy. Learn how ITM, ATM, OTM, probability, premium, and risk/reward come together when choosing the right strike price.
-
Add a short summary or a list of helpful resources here.
Strike Price Selection
Chapter 2 of Theta Bridge Academy. Learn how ITM, ATM, OTM, probability, premium, and risk/reward come together when choosing the right strike price.
Learning Objectives
Strike selection is where probability, premium, and risk meet. This chapter teaches the decision process.
Strike Price
Understand the agreed contract price where shares may be bought or sold.
Moneyness
Learn ITM, ATM, and OTM for both calls and puts.
Probability
Use Delta as a practical shortcut for probability thinking.
Risk/Reward
Learn why higher premium usually comes with higher risk.
What Is A Strike Price?
The strike price is the contract price inside the option.
Think of it as the price written into the contract. If the option becomes active through exercise or assignment, the strike price decides where the share transaction happens.
Example: if MSFT trades at $450 and you sell a $430 put, you are agreeing to potentially buy 100 shares at $430. If you sell a $470 covered call, you are agreeing to potentially sell 100 shares at $470.
MSFT trades at $450. Which strike is closest to the current stock price?
Select the best answer.
Understanding Moneyness
Moneyness describes where the strike sits relative to the stock price.
This matters because moneyness affects premium, probability, assignment risk, and the amount of intrinsic value inside the contract.
Calls: ITM, ATM, OTM
For calls, lower strikes are more valuable because a call gives the right to buy.
ITM Call
MSFT = $450. A $400 call is ITM because it gives the right to buy at $400 while the market is $450.
ATM Call
MSFT = $450. A $450 call is ATM because the strike is near the current stock price.
OTM Call
MSFT = $450. A $500 call is OTM because the stock must rise before the contract has intrinsic value.
Puts: ITM, ATM, OTM
For puts, higher strikes are more valuable because a put gives the right to sell.
ITM Put
MSFT = $450. A $500 put is ITM because it gives the right to sell at $500 while the market is $450.
ATM Put
MSFT = $450. A $450 put is ATM because the strike is near the current stock price.
OTM Put
MSFT = $450. A $400 put is OTM because the stock must fall before the contract has intrinsic value.
MSFT trades at $450. A $500 call is:
Think about whether the right to buy at $500 is already valuable.
Risk vs Reward
Premium is not free money. Higher premium usually means the market is paying you more because the risk is higher.
MSFT at $450
Different strikes create different trade profiles. The sweet spot is often not the highest premium.
| Put Strike | Premium | Approx Probability | Risk Style | Theta Bridge View |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $400 | $1.00 | Very High | Conservative | Safe, low premium |
| $430 | $4.00 | Balanced | Moderate | Potential sweet spot |
| $450 | $8.00 | Medium | Aggressive | High assignment risk |
| $470 | $15.00 | Low | Very aggressive | Premium chasing |
Strike Selection for CSPs
Get paid to potentially buy a company you actually want to own.
The correct question is: At what price would I happily own this company?
Example: PLTR trades at $140. If you would happily buy PLTR at $125, you can sell a $125 put. If PLTR stays above $125, you keep the premium. If PLTR falls below $125, you may buy shares at the price you already liked.
Strike Selection for Covered Calls
Get paid to potentially sell shares at a price you are happy with.
Example: you own PLTR at $140. If you would be happy selling at $165, you can sell a $165 covered call. If PLTR stays below $165, you keep the premium. If PLTR rises above $165, you may sell shares at a profit.
The Theta Bridge Framework
We choose strikes based on process, not greed.
1. Quality
Choose a company you are willing to own or already own.
2. Price
Identify a buy or sell price that fits your plan.
3. Delta
Look for a probability zone, often around 20–30 Delta.
4. Support
Check whether the strike aligns with technical support or resistance.
5. Premium
Confirm the premium is worth the risk.
6. Execute
Enter only when the trade fits the framework.
What usually happens when premium increases?
Think risk/reward.
Final Chapter Check
What Delta range does Theta Bridge commonly use as a balanced starting point for income strategies?